3emeType a écrit:Paul23 a écrit:Basically this leads to hilly riders having no chance in hilly races, because the majority of the race will be below an 86 effort. That means, that the climbers will win that stuff.
The majority of a flat race is below a sprint effort, however sprinters win them all the time. That's the same for hilly races.
Try to win Liege with Quintana or Froome. It's hard (a bit like winning a flat race with Tony Martin). While with Valverde it's easy. Unless a big bug appeared since our last tests.
I don't think u can compare a flat stage with a hilly stage like that. A flat stage is an easy stage with an explosive end. So obviously the best sprinters win at the end, because nobody is really exhausted enough to make a difference throughout the stage, maybe 95 pct of the time. A hilly stage is about endurance, about the riders who can cope with the hills the best and are overal the strongest riders of the bunch on that terrain.
Right now, the hill stat does not reflect that for 2 reasons:
1. 85 pct effort is way too high of a cutoff point to be relevant. How often do you actually go over 85 pct effort? i'd say never except for during a final push. You can argue that the ai goes over 85 a lot, but we all know that if we are as reckless with our powers as the ai, we'll never win a hill/mountain stage on the 2 highest difficulty settings. And then i'm not even talking about online gameplay, where preservation of powers is even more relevant.
2. After quite a bit of testing, As far as i can see, the hill stat doesn't even really make a rider better on uphill slopes over 85 pct effort. The difference is that riders with a high hill stat are able to get to a higher heartrate, and ride a bit faster, but they also lose their yellow and red bar way quicker, so they cant hold their effort as long as bad hillers, creating a 0 operation in the end. The difference is also really small, like 15-30 seconds from full yellow and red to empty yellow and red, on 90 pct effort, between an 85 hiller and a 70 hiller.
All of this makes pure mountain riders way too strong on hilly stages, and people like Philliphe Gilbert close to useless.
I uploaded the raw footage of one of my tests so you can see for yourself. You'll also see that a 85cl/70 hill takes more than 10 minutes on an 70cl/85 hill throughout the amstel gold race, (which is not a mountain stage at all) during this interval test with efforts up to 90 pct. That can't be what you guys are aiming for, right?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IeeZhkRZz54&t=986s